RezkoWatch guest blogger Katmandu offers the following about the declining favorability ratings of Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) versus the steadily improving fortune of his worthy opponent for the Democratic nomination, Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.).
The trend is unmistakable—the longer Obama stays on the campaign trail the more unfavorably he is viewed by voters. One rap against Hillary was that she had “high negatives.” But let’s see what’s happened in the past few months. Right now on May 25, 2008, both have the same rating, a -3. And both have identical numbers—47% positive and 50% negative. Hillary does better on the “highly unfavorable” ratings—she has a two percent advantage over Obama who is now viewed “very unfavorably” by 34%, according to Rasmussen Reports.
It wasn’t always so. Again using Rasmussen Reports, go back to April 25, and Senator Obama was +2. On February 25, Obama was +6. Obama’s popularity (lucky for him) peaked in early and mid February (Super Tuesday was February 5th). For three straight days, February 15-17, he had a net +10 favorability rating, and his “very unfavorable” rating was only 18%. Hillary at that time was struggling with a -9 average rating (February 15-17).
The big stumbling block to horses seeking the Triple Crown is the Belmont, a much longer race (a quarter mile longer than the Derby) than the first two jewels in the crown. We’ll see how Obama holds up in the home stretch but right now he seems to be losing speed while Hillary is gaining. Who will be the stronger horse in the really long race to November?
Sunday, May 25, 2008
Is Obama no longer the odds-on favorite in the Democratic race?
2 comments:
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speaking of polling/ opinions, here's a little something on
the Wright Connection that i'm sure all are familiar with..
excerpt:
[Most reporters are liberals, whose circles of friends and acquaintances have included people with views not dissimilar to those of Wright or William Ayers, the unrepentant Weather Underground bomber with whom Obama served on a nonprofit board and at whose house his state Senate candidacy was launched. Such reporters don’t find these views utterly repugnant or particularly noteworthy. But most American voters do. And they wonder whether a candidate who associates with such people agrees with them — or disbelieve him when he says he doesn’t.
Though most in the press won’t admit it, that’s a problem
— for the Obama candidacy and for the whole Democratic
party once it nominates him.]
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Most reporters don't strike me as intelligent enough to form an opinion on Wright.
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